Fifth forecast calls for above average hurricane season

The United Kingdom’s national weather service released its 2016 hurricane forecast this morning calling for a storm season with above normal activity.

The Meteorological Office is forecasting 14 named storms and eight hurricanes, not including January’s Hurricane Alex.

READ: Have hurricane forecasts become overly specific? 

A typical hurricane season has 12 named storms and six hurricanes.

This is the 5th forecast to forecast a slightly above average storm season, which begins June 1 and runs through November.

As with the other forecasts, El Nino was a major consideration. The hurricane-killing climate condition is retreating and there is a 70 percent chance for a La Nina event, which is more friendly to hurricane development.

“El Nino conditions in the Pacific can hinder the development of tropical storms in the Atlantic whereas La Nina conditions can enhance tropical storm activity, so how these conditions develop will be important for the storm season ahead,” said Joanne Camp, climate scientist at the Met Office.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will release its hurricane forecast May 27.

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