Update 8 a.m.: A tropical wave over Honduras and Nicaragua is still hanging on with a 10 percent chance of tropical development as of 8 a.m. this morning.
National Hurricane Center forecasters said if the wave starts to form into something more, it will be a slow evolution as it moves over land and into the Bay of Campeche over the next several days.
But another system off the coast of the mid-Atlantic has AccuWeather forecasters on alert for possible tropical development and big waves along the east coast.
The system is expected to stall for a time near the coast, sending rough surf east.
The National Hurricane Center has not acknowledged this system in its tropical weather forecasts as having the potential to become something bigger.
AccuWeather said even though the storm could develop tropical characteristics, it will not occur immediately and may attain these conditions for only a short period of time.
“The storm should strengthen enough to create winds of 40-50 mph with gusts over 60 mph,” said Dan Kottlowski, senior meteorologist at the Pennsylvania-based AccuWeather. “These stronger winds will be mainly over the open waters of the western Atlantic just offshore of Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and New York this weekend and just off the coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island from Sunday night through Monday night.”
Update 9 p.m.: The chance that a tropical storm will develop over the next five days remained at 10 percent as of the 8 p.m. update from the National Hurricane Center.
Forecasters said a tropical wave over eastern Honduras and eastern Nicaragua is unlikely to develop.
Update 2 p.m.: The chance that a tropical system will develop over the next five days have dropped to 10 percent as of the 2 p.m. update from the National Hurricane Center.
Forecasters said a tropical wave near the Yucatan Peninsula will have little opportunity to become something more in the upcoming days because it will be moving over land.
There is no other tropical activity expected in the next five days.
Previous story: The National Hurricane Center is watching a tropical wave that is expected to cross the Yucatan Peninsula late this week into an area favorable for tropical development.
As of 8 a.m. Wednesday forecasters said the system had a 20 percent chance of developing over the next five days.
If a broad area of low pressure forms as the disturbance emerges over the Bay of Campeche or southwestern Gulf of Mexico, it will hit warmer waters in a low area of lower wind shear, which can promote development.
But GFS models also show it as an area with low relative humidity, which hurts development.
There’s not much to see on satellite images at this point.