UPDATE, 2:55 p.m.: The area of low pressure currently on Florida’s Panhandle now has a 10 percent chance of formation into a tropical system within the next 48 hours, according to the National Hurricane Center.
It retains its 20 percent development chance over the next five days.
ORIGINAL STORY: An area of low pressure is expected to cozy up to Florida’s Panhandle this weekend or early next week and could become a tropical system as it lingers over the warm Gulf waters.
The National Hurricane Center is giving the disturbance a 20 percent chance of development over the next five days.
While the system has only a low chance of forming into something more, National Weather Service forecasters said it could bring showers to South Florida, breaking up a mass of Saharan dust that is wafting into the area.
Cooler temperatures high in the atmosphere and increasing moisture from the counterclockwise flow of the disturbance is expected to increase rain chances beginning Monday and into Tuesday.
The rain would be welcome by coastal Palm Beach County, which was identified in a drought report Thursday as having abnormally dry conditions. The area is down more than 5 inches of rain for the season, which began June 1.
Models are showing plenty of moisture and very low wind shear in the Big Bend region of Florida where hurricane center forecasters identified the system as possibly forming.