Would-be Otto idles in Caribbean but tropical system still expected to form

The National Hurricane Center is still giving a disturbance in the Caribbean an 80 percent chance of development over the next five days as it idles south of Jamaica.


The system, if it becomes a tropical cyclone, would be named Otto.

Check The Palm Beach Post radar map.

Even if it forms up, the system isn’t expected to be a danger to the U.S. Most models show it staying stationary or moving west.

Read: November storms rare, but surprises happen. 

The Caribbean is likely the most favorable area over the Atlantic basin for development over the next seven to 10 days, according to AccuWeather.

“Strong wind shear that has been present over the Caribbean in recent weeks is diminishing and waters are sufficiently warm to sustain a tropical system,” AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said.

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AccuWeather meteorologists said they don’t expect the system to become a strong hurricane, although at least one model had it building to a major storm, but that it could become a strong tropical storm or hurricane.

“Beyond early next week, the tropical system may be forced southward later in the month,” Kottlowski said.

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