AccuWeather released its 2017 seasonal hurricane forecast this afternoon, and will be followed Thursday by Colorado State University.
Although hurricane season doesn’t begin until June 1, some early forecasts come out in April. NOAA usually releases its forecast in May.
According to AccuWeather, the 2017 hurricane season will be below-normal because of a potential El Nino that may limit development of storms.
With that consideration, the Pennsylvania-based company is forecasting 10 named storms, including five hurricanes and three major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.
“The big factor is going to be the fact that we now believe El Niño will come on board some time during the summer and will continue all the way through the rest of the hurricane season,” AccuWeather Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said.
El Niño is characterized by warmer-than-normal ocean water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean near the equator.
A normal hurricane season has 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes.
Check back Thursday for Colorado State University’s seasonal forecast and a better explanation of how both forecasts were made.