Leading hurricane forecast increases number of predicted storms

Colorado State University revised its 2017 hurricane forecast, increasing the number of storms predicted this season to slightly above average.

The forecast, which predicted a below average season in April, was changed in response to mounting doubts that El Nino will make a strong appearance this summer or fall.

Related: 2017 hurricane names 

Hurricane Matthew on Oct. 6, 2016

Phil Klotzbach, the lead writer for CSU’s forecast, hinted last month that he may need to increase the number of storms he predicted because of warming waters and the lack of El Nino.

Related: Indecisive El Nino makes 2017 forecast a big gamble. 

Klotzbach is now calling for 14 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher. This forecast includes Tropical Storm Arlene, which formed in April.

An average season has 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes. The season runs from June 1 through November, but peak season is mid-August through mid-October.

Check The Palm Beach Post’s storm tracking  map.

The updated forecast more closely aligns with the Climate Prediction Center’s forecast, which was released last week. The center is predicting 11 to 17 named storms, five to nine hurricanes, and two to four major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher.

Author: Kimberly Miller

Kimberly grew up outside Washington D.C. She graduated from the University of Arizona in 1995. Her beats have included K-12 education, universities and colleges, real estate, and general assignment.

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