Late October system gets medium chance of tropical development

A late season disturbance in the southwestern Caribbean Sea is getting a 40 percent chance of development over the next five days.

The National Hurricane Center said an area of low pressure is expected to form this week, and possibly grow from there into something tropical.

Check The Palm Beach Post storm tracking map.

If a tropical storm forms, it would be named Philippe.

Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30, and during active seasons it’s not unusual for storms to continue through late October.

Download the Palm Beach Post WeatherPlus app here.

Hurricane Wilma formed near the same area as the current disturbance is brewing in October 2005, making landfall near Cape Romano, Florida on Oct. 24.

Hurricane Wilma formed in the southwestern Caribbean in October 2005.

AccuWeather hurricane experts said there are enough ingredients – warm water, low wind shear – for the area of low pressure to possibly form into a tropical storm.

In the western Caribbean, waters remain very warm and winds aloft are rather light, compared to much of the balance of the Atlantic basin, according to AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Pydynowski.

Courtesy AccuWeather

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