BREAKING: Hurricane center issues special forecast for system near Bahamas

The National Hurricane Center has issued a special tropical weather forecast for an area of low pressure near the Bahamas, but is giving it no chance of development.

The forecast says the system will move westward over Florida tomorrow with locally heavy rains and gusty winds for portions of the Bahamas and South Florida.

Chances for development are zero for both the 48-hour and 5-day time periods.

Hurricane experts have been watching the system carefully for development. If it formed up, it would be the first tropical system of the 2018 hurricane season and be named Alberto.

WEATHER INSIDER: Like this story? Want more? Sign up for our newsletter

If Alberto did form, it would follow a 3-year trend of tropical systems that formed before the official June 1 start date of hurricane season.

Tropical Storm Arlene formed in April 2017. In 2016, Hurricane Alex formed in January, followed by Tropical Storm Bonnie spinning up in May. Tropical Storm Ana formed in May 2015.

Storms that form early in the year outside of the deep tropics are not a foreshadowing to a busier hurricane season.

In 2012, two tropical storms occurred in May — Alberto and Beryl. That turned out to be a busy year with 19 named storms and 10 hurricanes. But in 2015 Tropical Storm Ana formed in May, and there were just 11 named storms and four hurricanes.

WEATHER INSIDER: Like this story? Want more? Sign up for our newsletter

GOES-16 satellite image of an upper-level low pressure system near the Bahamas.

If you haven’t yet, join Kim on Instagram and Twitter.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s